Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 1
ESP
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ESP
5 - 1
OVI
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
ELC
2 - 1
ESP
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ESP
2 - 4
CCF
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
RMA
1 - 0
ESP
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1965 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAR
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SEV
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ATH
3 - 1
ZAR
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 2
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
ZAR
3 - 1
LEV
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |