Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ALA
2 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BET
3 - 3
ESP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
OVI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
4 - 2
RAC
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |