Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1961 |
ESP
5 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
ESP
0 - 3
ATH
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 2
RSO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ZAR
6 - 3
OSA
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
BET
2 - 2
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 1
OVI
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ZAR
3 - 1
CDT
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
93%
5%
2%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |