Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
FCB
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 2
ESP
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 2
RMA
45%
22%
32%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 1
ESP
18%
18%
64%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
ZAR
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
ZAR
0 - 3
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 2
VCF
45%
21%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
ZAR
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |