Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-3
Espanyol vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1933 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
GIJ
85%
10%
6%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
GIJ
1 - 3
ESP
22%
21%
57%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1933 |
ESP
1 - 2
BET
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1933 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
CEL
2 - 3
ZAR
44%
22%
35%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
ZAR
20%
22%
58%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
HUE
2 - 4
ZAR
23%
23%
54%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |