Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Espanyol vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
ESP
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SDA
0 - 0
ESP
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
EIB
0 - 2
OVI
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OVI
0 - 0
EIB
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EIB
4 - 3
OVI
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OVI
3 - 0
FCA
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |