Espanyol vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
RSO
5 - 0
ESP
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ESP
3 - 2
DEP
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 1
ESP
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
OVI
1 - 2
CEL
49%
22%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 2
MAL
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 0
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 2
VAD
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |