Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Espanyol vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
SAB
0 - 6
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
5 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
GRA
2 - 0
ESP
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
SPO
6 - 0
OVI
43%
21%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SEV
1 - 1
OVI
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 1
OVI
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |