Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Espanyol vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
RCV
1 - 3
ESP
14%
19%
67%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ESP
5 - 1
RCV
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ESP
6 - 1
MLL
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
MLL
1 - 7
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ESP
3 - 1
RSO
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
5 - 2
MUR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
MUR
2 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
EUR
2 - 0
OVI
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
OVI
4 - 0
EUR
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ISC
4 - 1
OVI
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |