Espanyol vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
ATM
1 - 1
ESP
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ESP
3 - 2
ATH
44%
21%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
SEV
5 - 2
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ESP
3 - 2
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ALC
4 - 1
ESP
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CEL
4 - 1
MUR
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 0
RAC
43%
22%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
MUR
83%
10%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |