Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-2
Espanyol vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
RMA
0 - 1
ESP
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
52%
21%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RSO
4 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
OVI
2 - 2
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 0
OVI
36%
23%
42%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
5 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
MUR
3 - 0
LEV
41%
22%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 3
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |