Espanyol vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1945 |
SAB
0 - 6
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
5 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
GRA
2 - 0
ESP
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 2
ESP
70%
16%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 5
RMA
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 0
SAB
62%
19%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |