Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIL
35%
28%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 2
ESP
65%
20%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
5%
13%
81%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LEG
3 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RMA
4 - 0
ALA
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 3
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BET
3 - 5
RMA
10%
16%
74%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
PSG
62%
19%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RMA
5 - 2
RSO
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |