Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 2
ESP
45%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GET
1 - 3
ESP
54%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SEV
1 - 2
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 0
ZAR
52%
26%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RMA
4 - 1
RSO
90%
8%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
75%
15%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
OSA
1 - 0
RMA
10%
20%
70%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RMA
1 - 0
MLL
85%
10%
5%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |