Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
RAC
2 - 2
ESP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 0
UDL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 0
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
BET
5 - 1
ESP
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ESP
2 - 0
ELC
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
RMA
2 - 2
RSO
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 0
RMA
28%
28%
44%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BRU
2 - 0
RMA
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
RMA
2 - 0
VCF
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 4
RMA
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |