Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 4
ESP
87%
9%
5%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ESP
3 - 2
SEV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 0
DEP
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
RMA
4 - 0
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
RMA
36%
23%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VAD
4 - 3
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RMA
6 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |