Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
GIM
3 - 1
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ESP
4 - 1
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VAD
4 - 0
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
CEL
4 - 1
ESP
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ESP
2 - 2
MAL
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RMA
1 - 0
CEL
70%
16%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 3
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
VCF
2 - 2
RMA
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RMA
6 - 2
OVI
69%
16%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |