Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-1
Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RSO
4 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
FCB
5 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 0
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
GIM
1 - 0
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
RMA
4 - 2
MAL
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 0
EME
92%
5%
2%
|
82 | 28 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RMA
2 - 0
OVI
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |