Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
CAS
4 - 3
ESP
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1947 |
DEP
1 - 0
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
ESP
0 - 3
ATH
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 3
MUR
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
OVI
4 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
RMA
3 - 6
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
43%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
RMA
2 - 0
OVI
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATM
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
VCF
4 - 1
RMA
62%
19%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |