Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SAB
0 - 0
ESP
37%
22%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
OVI
50%
22%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
0 - 1
ESP
50%
21%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RSO
6 - 1
ESP
43%
21%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
61%
19%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 2
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
DEP
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |