Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
ATH
6 - 0
ESP
63%
18%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUN
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1930 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
ESP
3 - 0
RAC
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
1 - 0
ESP
54%
20%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
69%
16%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
RUN
2 - 2
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 3
ATH
60%
20%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
1 - 4
RMA
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |