Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 4
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 1
ATM
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
ESP
3 - 1
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
ATH
1 - 4
RMA
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
RCM
2 - 6
RMA
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
RMA
3 - 1
RCM
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
LOG
0 - 5
RMA
23%
22%
54%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |