Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1915 |
ATH
5 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1915 |
ESP
3 - 0
SGE
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1915 |
SGE
2 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1911 |
ESP
6 - 0
AIT
95%
4%
1%
|
79 | 9 | 70 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1917 |
RMA
2 - 1
ARE
91%
7%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1917 |
RMA
0 - 0
ARE
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
0 - 1
RMA
12%
19%
69%
|
83 | 15 | 68 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
2 - 2
RMA
12%
20%
69%
|
83 | 15 | 68 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1917 |
FEB
3 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
69%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |