Espanyol vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ATM
8 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
ESP
4 - 0
VAD
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
OSA
5 - 0
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ESP
2 - 2
SEV
44%
23%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ESP
2 - 0
UDL
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDC
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
CEL
4 - 0
RJA
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
RJA
0 - 1
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
RMA
7 - 1
RJA
89%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 2
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |