Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
RMA
5 - 1
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 3
SEV
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BET
2 - 0
ESP
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 1
ZAR
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
VIL
4 - 0
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SEV
2 - 1
RAY
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
RAY
1 - 2
ZAR
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
FCB
1 - 1
RAY
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
RAY
1 - 2
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
UDL
1 - 0
RAY
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |