Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RSO
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ESP
8 - 0
CDM
93%
6%
2%
|
80 | 37 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
ZAR
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CDM
0 - 1
ESP
19%
20%
60%
|
79 | 35 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RAY
1 - 3
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
RAY
3 - 0
LEG
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 0
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
LEG
2 - 0
RAY
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | -1 |