Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-2
Espanyol vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
2 - 2
RMA
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
ARE
1 - 2
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
ESP
2 - 2
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
ESP
5 - 2
OVI
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
BET
3 - 1
ESP
41%
23%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
AVI
3 - 5
RCF
57%
20%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
RCF
2 - 1
BAR
45%
22%
33%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
NAM
2 - 2
RCF
63%
18%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
VAD
7 - 1
RCF
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
RCF
2 - 3
AVI
69%
16%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |