Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 8-2
Espanyol vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
OSA
2 - 0
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
PLA
1 - 5
ESP
15%
22%
64%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESP
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 0
FIG
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PLA
1 - 1
XER
37%
30%
33%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 0
PLA
74%
17%
8%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
PLA
1 - 5
ESP
15%
22%
64%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PLA
0 - 2
ORI
47%
29%
24%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
PLA
0 - 0
CPC
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |