UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Espanyol vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
RSO
1 - 2
ESP
57%
23%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALA
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ESP
4 - 0
SLA
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
VCF
1 - 2
ESP
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
MPL
6 - 0
QAR
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
QAR
0 - 3
MPL
27%
24%
50%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
MPL
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LHA
1 - 1
MPL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1999 |
MPL
1 - 1
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |