Europa League 1/32
Global 2-4
Espanyol vs RWD Molenbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
ESP
3 - 1
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
58%
25%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
ESP
3 - 0
MUR
79%
15%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
DEP
0 - 1
ESP
38%
26%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
ESP
1 - 2
DEP
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
MOL
2 - 0
ANT
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
MOL
4 - 0
BER
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
BRU
0 - 0
MOL
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
BRU
1 - 1
MOL
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
MOL
3 - 3
LIE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |