Espanyol vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SEV
6 - 4
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 1
ESP
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 1
OSA
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAD
1 - 2
MAL
23%
27%
51%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 1
NGA
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 9 | 78 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 4
MAL
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |