Espanyol vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 3
ESP
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
49%
25%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 2
ESP
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
BET
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
BET
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 0
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |