Espanyol vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
DEP
2 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
ESP
0 - 3
FEY
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
ESP
0 - 0
CEL
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
5 - 1
EXT
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
OVI
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
RAY
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
HER
0 - 1
BET
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1996 |
ATM
3 - 0
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
DEP
4 - 0
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |