Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Espanyol vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
RMA
3 - 3
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
1 - 1
UDL
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 0
ESP
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
HER
1 - 1
CCF
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
CAA
5 - 1
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
HER
1 - 0
CEU
71%
16%
14%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |