Espanyol vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ESP
1 - 2
OVI
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 1
MUR
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
VCF
3 - 2
ESP
76%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 5
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
HER
2 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
SEV
2 - 1
HER
86%
9%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
66%
17%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
HER
1 - 4
CEL
40%
23%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
RMA
2 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |