Espanyol vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SEV
0 - 0
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 2
CCF
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCB
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
CCF
2 - 1
ESP
32%
27%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
RAY
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 1
GRA
95%
4%
1%
|
75 | 97 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
RSO
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
LEV
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
RSO
4 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |