Espanyol vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 3
ATM
49%
22%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
VCF
2 - 0
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
GRA
0 - 1
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
SPO
3 - 1
GRA
44%
22%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
GRA
1 - 1
MUR
60%
19%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
3 - 2
GRA
43%
22%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
GRA
0 - 2
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |