Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-3
Espanyol vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1941 |
GIR
1 - 1
ESP
21%
20%
59%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 0
ZAR
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1941 |
GIR
1 - 1
ESP
21%
20%
59%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
GIR
4 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CON
1 - 0
GIR
44%
22%
34%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAD
75%
15%
11%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BAD
1 - 1
GIR
31%
22%
47%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |