Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Espanyol vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
BET
2 - 0
ESP
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ESP
1 - 0
RMA
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
GIM
0 - 0
ESP
25%
30%
45%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 1
OSA
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
GIM
1 - 0
CDB
47%
31%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
AGD
2 - 0
GIM
72%
20%
8%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
GIM
0 - 0
ESP
25%
30%
45%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
GIM
0 - 0
GRA
39%
32%
29%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
GIM
2 - 0
POR
46%
31%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |