Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 3-0
Espanyol vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
OVI
3 - 1
ESP
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 0
OVI
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
ESP
5 - 2
DEP
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
DEP
1 - 2
ESP
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
GRA
2 - 0
GIM
70%
17%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
GIM
1 - 0
GRA
45%
23%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
GIM
4 - 2
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
HER
1 - 1
GIM
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
6 - 0
ZAR
56%
21%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |