Espanyol vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
CCF
2 - 1
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 2
RMA
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
3 - 0
SPO
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 4
FCB
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 1
SEV
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ATH
2 - 1
ELC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
ELC
40%
24%
37%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
ELC
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
83%
10%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |