Espanyol vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 3
ESP
33%
30%
38%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
FCB
3 - 1
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 1
FCB
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ESP
1 - 0
CDO
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
ELC
4 - 1
CDO
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
RAY
0 - 1
ELC
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 2
MAL
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
CCF
2 - 1
ELC
72%
20%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
ELC
0 - 1
OSA
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |