Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
5 - 1
EXT
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 0
APO
85%
11%
5%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
ATH
2 - 2
ESP
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAD
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
CEL
3 - 1
OVI
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RAY
3 - 0
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CEL
0 - 2
BET
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
HER
0 - 2
CEL
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
34%
30%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |