Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESP
37%
32%
31%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 1
ELC
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
UDL
1 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
5 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 0
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ELC
2 - 0
CEL
40%
32%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
CEL
3 - 1
UDL
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |