Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
5 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
CAS
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
1 - 3
ESP
55%
19%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
CEL
4 - 1
HER
67%
16%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 3
CEL
32%
22%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
CEL
2 - 1
OVI
61%
18%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
2 - 2
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CEL
2 - 1
DEP
78%
12%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |