Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.3%
12.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
OVI
3 - 3
ESP
62%
18%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
ESP
4 - 3
SEV
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ATM
5 - 3
ESP
57%
20%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 2
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
ZAR
0 - 3
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATM
52%
20%
28%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
54%
19%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CEL
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
CEL
6 - 2
VCF
49%
19%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |