Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-4
Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
12.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
44%
21%
35%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
RCF
1 - 0
ESP
21%
21%
58%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
7 - 1
RCF
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
2 - 2
RMA
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
ARE
1 - 2
ESP
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
44%
21%
35%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1934 |
CEL
4 - 2
SAB
73%
14%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
CEL
2 - 1
SAB
72%
15%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
SAB
2 - 1
CEL
45%
21%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
OSA
3 - 1
CEL
53%
20%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |