Espanyol vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ESP
6 - 4
VCF
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 3
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ESP
2 - 2
RSO
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 1
ESP
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
MAL
2 - 0
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 3
MAL
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ATM
3 - 2
MAL
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 2
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 5
MAL
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |