Espanyol vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
ESP
3 - 1
DEP
71%
16%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
ESP
3 - 0
GIM
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
ESP
0 - 0
GIM
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1946 |
OVI
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 2
ATH
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAS
40%
23%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
CAS
3 - 1
RCD
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
RCD
3 - 1
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |