Espanyol vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
47%
21%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ESP
3 - 2
SEV
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
DEP
3 - 1
ESP
41%
22%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
ESP
1 - 3
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
CAS
0 - 2
GRA
61%
19%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SEV
4 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 1
DEP
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |